Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.381306e-05 2.863124e-05 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000054 0.000063
2025-06-08 1.785433e-05 2.389356e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076
2025-06-15 1.381784e-05 2.036168e-05 0.000028 0.000039 0.000052 0.000068 0.000087
2025-06-22 1.051845e-05 1.705976e-05 0.000026 0.000037 0.000053 0.000071 0.000096
2025-06-29 7.862229e-06 1.409129e-05 0.000023 0.000035 0.000052 0.000073 0.000102
2025-07-06 5.770945e-06 1.151063e-05 0.000020 0.000033 0.000051 0.000074 0.000106
2025-07-13 4.542772e-06 1.000397e-05 0.000019 0.000032 0.000052 0.000077 0.000113
2025-07-20 3.643994e-06 8.853457e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000053 0.000081 0.000121
2025-07-27 3.081134e-06 8.181183e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000055 0.000086 0.000131
2025-08-03 2.966770e-06 8.341949e-06 0.000018 0.000035 0.000060 0.000096 0.000147
2025-08-10 2.440489e-06 7.560056e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000061 0.000100 0.000156
2025-08-17 1.758198e-06 6.257245e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000060 0.000099 0.000158
2025-08-24 1.173070e-06 5.080882e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000059 0.000102 0.000166
2025-08-31 8.349584e-07 4.372837e-06 0.000013 0.000031 0.000061 0.000107 0.000178
2025-09-07 5.684065e-07 3.707689e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000062 0.000112 0.000190
2025-09-14 3.409373e-07 2.973953e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000062 0.000115 0.000198
2025-09-21 1.780606e-07 2.282417e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000061 0.000115 0.000203
2025-09-28 7.815664e-08 1.687912e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000059 0.000115 0.000207
2025-10-05 3.763685e-08 1.366286e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000059 0.000118 0.000216
2025-10-12 1.691864e-08 1.128610e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000060 0.000122 0.000227
2025-10-19 8.312459e-09 9.979206e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000062 0.000129 0.000241
2025-10-26 7.350139e-09 1.046574e-06 0.000007 0.000026 0.000068 0.000141 0.000265
2025-11-02 2.419537e-09 8.846414e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000069 0.000146 0.000277